中国石化新闻网讯 据钻机地带5月23日报道，今年美国西得克萨斯中质原油(WTI)现货均价将达每桶73.62美元。

这是根据美国能源信息署（EIA）本月早些时候发布的最新短期能源展望（STEO）得出的结论。

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EIA的5月STEO预计，按季度预计，2023年第二季度WTI现货均价将达每桶72.50美元，第三和第四季度将达每桶73美元。

在4月发布的上一次STEO中，EIA预计2023年WTI现货价格将达到每桶79.24美元。该STEO预计，今年第二季度该商品的均价将达80美元/桶，第三季度为每桶81美元，第四季度为每桶80美元。

EIA最新的STEO强调，2022年WTI现货均价为每桶94.91美元。

根据渣打银行分析师在该公司最新报告中指出，布伦特原油和西得克萨斯中质原油四个主要合约的投机空头增加了9000万桶，投机多头减少了1.1亿桶。根据渣打银行最近发给钻机地带网站的一份报告，今年WTI的均价将达每桶88美元。该报告预计，2023年第三季度原油价格将达到每桶85美元，第四季度将达到每桶91美元。

渣打银行的分析师在该公司的最新报告中指出，四份主要布伦特原油和WTI合约的投机空头增加9000万桶，投机多头减少1.1亿桶。

惠誉解决方案(Fitch Solutions) 在本月提供给钻机地带网站的另一份报告中透露，预计到2023年，WTI的均价将达到每桶81美元。

在今年3月发布的《2023年达拉斯联储能源调查》(Dallas Fed Energy Survey)第一季度报告中，145名油气公司高管被问及他们对2023年底WTI价格的预测时，他们的回答均价为79.64美元/桶。

该调查的最低预测为每桶50美元，而最高预测为每桶160美元。在3月15日至23日的调查收集期间，WTI价格平均为每桶68.51美元。

在撰写本文时，WTI的交易价格为每桶71.92美元。1月26日是该商品2023年迄今为止的最高收盘价，为每桶87.47美元，3月17日是2023年以来的最低收盘价，至每桶66.74美元。

郝芬 译自 钻机地带 网站

原文如下：

Where Will WTI Oil Price Land This Year?

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spot price will average $73.62 per barrel this year.

That’s according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released earlier this month.

Broken down quarterly, the EIA’s May STEO sees the WTI spot price averaging $72.50 per barrel in the second quarter and $73 per barrel in both the third and fourth quarters of 2023.

In its previous STEO, which was released in April, the EIA saw the WTI spot price coming in at $79.24 per barrel in 2023. That STEO projected that the commodity would average $80 in the second quarter of this year, $81 per barrel in the third quarter, and $80 per barrel in the fourth quarter.

The WTI spot price averaged $94.91 per barrel in 2022, the EIA’s latest STEO highlighted.

According to a Standard Chartered report sent to Rigzone recently, WTI will average $88 per barrel this year. The report saw the commodity coming in at $85 per barrel in the third quarter of 2023 and $91 per barrel in the fourth quarter. Standard Chartered made the same price projections in a separate report sent to Rigzone last month.

Analysts at Standard Chartered noted in the company’s latest report that speculative shorts across the four main Brent and WTI contracts had risen by 90 million barrels and that speculative longs had been cut by 110 million barrels.

In another report sent to Rigzone this month, BMI, a Fitch Solutions company, revealed that it saw the WTI crude price averaging $81 per barrel in 2023.

The average response from 145 oil and gas firm executives when asked what they expected the WTI price to be at the end of 2023, as part of the first quarter 2023 Dallas Fed Energy Survey, which was released back in March, was $79.64 per barrel.

The low forecast in that survey came to $50 per barrel, while the high forecast came in at $160 per barrel. The WTI price during the survey collection period, which spanned March 15-23, averaged $68.51 per barrel.

At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $71.92 per barrel. The commodity’s highest close in 2023, so far, was seen on January 26 at $87.47 per barrel, and its lowest close in 2023, so far, was seen on March 17 at $66.74 per barrel.